Global Risk Data - What's Going On

Latest Score Updates

Lebanon.png

Lebanon - 3.77, increased from 3.61

Government Stability

4.00, up from 3.00

Guinea.png

Guinea - 3.80, decreased from 4.23

Democratization

3.67, down from 5.33

Government Stability

4.75, up from 4.50

Economy

4.33, down from 5.00

In a ray of hope for a country that has come to the edge of complete collapse, Lebanon has formed a government that will take the country to elections set for Spring of 2022.  The biggest thing this new government will do is be able to reopen talks with the IMF with the goal of a relief package that will help the country get back on its feet.  While risk here is still quite high, the formation of a new government opens the door to improvement.

Government change always brings increased risk, at least for a period of time and the new dictatorship in this country is no exception.  Democratization has taken a significant hit, contributing to a decrease in the overall country score by about half a point.  The economy has also taken a hit as the uncertainty from this coup has rattled mineral markets, of which Guinea has a huge share - and a lot of foreign investment.  Government Stability, however, is expected to increase only because such regimes tend to exercise significant control over all aspects of the polity, usually at the expense of popular freedom.  Overall, Guinea remains high-risk.

Some highlighted results from our analysis showing the top and bottom five countries overall as well as for each of the six aggregated variables

Overall Country Risk - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Safest / 0-Riskiest

USA.png

United States                 7.75

Canada.png

Canada                          7.44

South Korea.png

South Korea                  7.39

UK.png

United Kingdom            7.39

Netherlands.png

The Netherlands            7.37

Yemen.png

Yemen                            2.29

Syria.png

Syria                                2.44

Somalia.png

Somalia                           2.73

Afghanistan.png
south sudan.png

South Sudan                   2.94

Afghanistan                    2.79

Economic Strength - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Strongest / 0-Weakest

Germany.png

Germany               8.67

China.png

China                     8.33

Japan.png

Japan                    8.33

South Korea.png

South Korea          8.17

Italy.png

Italy                       8.00

Lebanon.png

Lebanon           2.00

Burundi.png

Burundi            3.17

Syria.png

Syria                 3.33

Kiribati.png

Kiribati             3.33

Palestine.png

Palestine          3.50

Military Footprint - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Largest / 0-Smallest

USA.png

United States       8.00

NoKo.png

North Korea         7.00

Russia.png

Russia                   6.33

Turkey.png

Turkey                   5.67

India.png

India                     5.00

Comoros.png

Comoros             0.67

Bahamas.png

The Bahamas    1.00

Ghana.png

Ghana                1.00

Montenegro.png

Montenegro      1.00

Iceland.png

Iceland                1.00

Democratization - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Most Democratic / 0-Least Democratic

Norway.png

Norway               10.00

Tuvalu.png

Tuvalu                 10.00

Czechia.png

Czechia               10.00

Sweden.png

Sweden               10.00

Finalnd.png

Finland                10.00

NoKo.png

North Korea    1.00

Turkmenistan.png

Turkmenistan   1.17

Eritrea.png

Eritrea              1.33

China.png

China               1.50

Syria.png

Syria                1.67

Epidemiology - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Strongest / 0-Weakest

Australia.png

Australia                8.29

Canada.png

Canada                 8.14

USA.png

United States        7.57

Finalnd.png

Finland                 7.14

Netherlands.png

The Netherlands   7.14

Yemen.png

Yemen             2.02

Sao Tome.png

Sao Tome        2.14

NoKo.png

North Korea    2.17

EQgUINEA.png

Eq. Guinea      2.21

Syria.png

Syria                 2.29

Government Stability - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Most Stable / 0-Least Stable

Canada.png

Canada               10.00

Denmark.png

Denmark               9.75

Finalnd.png

Finland                  9.75

Netherlands.png

The Netherlands    9.75

New Zealand.png

New Zealand        9.50

Afghanistan.png

Afghanistan     1.73

Yemen.png

Yemen             1.75

Somalia.png

Somalia           1.75

Syria.png

Syria                 2.00

south sudan.png

South Sudan   2.00

Security - Top and Bottom 5

Scale: 10-Most Secure / 0-Least Secure

Liectenstein.png

Liechtenstein       9.33

Switz.png

Switzerland          9.33

Iceland.png

Iceland                 9.17

Czechia.png

Czechia                9.00

Denmark.png

Denmark             9.00

Yemen.png

Yemen             2.17

Syria.png

Syria                 2.67

Afghanistan.png

Afghanistan     2.67

Palestine.png

Palestine         2.83

Libya.png

Libya                3.50

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